Maybe he gets another title somewhere as a veteran mercenary but his centrality to that title will only decrease from what it’s been in the past. All rights reserved. The Los Angeles Clippers have been incredibly hot and the importance of their offensive moves are finally coming into focus. If Lillard was able to win a ring before retiring, his probability likely surges into “lock” territory. 0:25 . It’s not a perfect predictor but it’s an excellent starting point. Powered by Minute Media © 2021 All Rights Reserved. Sadly, it seems like retirement is coming much sooner for Blake Griffin than anyone else would have hoped. And in his current role he isn’t making any significant changes to his career statistical leaderboard totals. We have tools and resources that can help you use sports data. Do you have a sports website? Simmons discards Brunson for big flush in the lane. If the Clippers win a title behind him and Kawhi, he’s probably a lock. I think Kawhi is probably another player who is underrated by the model. Bill Russell* 1.0000: 5. The model gives him a higher probability of inclusion than Gail Goodrich, Mitch Richmond or Maurice Cheeks, all of him have been inducted. Celtics, Sixers drain back-to-back 3s. How many teams have a legitimate shot to win it? Or write about sports? 0:21. But he’s widely recognized as being key to the Warriors’ evolution and their three titles and he has a well-deserved reputation as one of the best defenders of his era (and a Defensive Player of the Year Award). His probability is much lower in the model in part because he scores fewer points, and has been selected for fewer All-Star teams. But even without that, he has a solid statistical resume and plenty of iconic moments to help cement his case. All-time Receiving Leader: Jerry Rice 1,281 rec, 19,247 yds, 176 TD Join our linker program. Kyrie Irving: 64.8 percent Hall-of-Fame probability I don’t know what you do with Kyrie’s case. According to their model, there are nine active players with a 90 percent or better chance of making the Hall-of-Fame — LeBron James, Chris Paul, Kevin Durant, James Harden, Russell Westbrook, Stephen Curry, Dwight Howard, Carmelo Anthony and Anthony Davis. If the Nets win a title he’s almost certainly in. The Eastern Conference appears to be wide open through the first third of the 2020-21 NBA season. Giannis’ probability is deflated by the fact that he’s still so young and so early in his career. NBA & ABA Leaders and Records for Hall of Fame Probability. Subscribe here to get it delivered to you via email each morning. A few more seasons of high-level productivity will only help, even if the Blazers are bowing out in the early round of the playoffs. San Francisco 49ers Historical Starting Lineups. the official stats partner of the NBA. Howard shoots the deepest free throws you've ever seen. Are you a Stathead, too? His resume is pretty much locked in and I’m guessing it’s not quite good enough. Doncic smiles after draining step-back 3 on Harris . 15 REB 8 DREB 7 OREB. As he continues racking up points, blocks and assists he’s going to rocket up the list. Ben Simmons B. Simmons. But he’s been the best player in the NBA Finals on two different champions and he’s won an All-Star Game MVP and two Defensive Player of the Year Awards. F - PHI. Stats updated as of the 2020 season. Basketball-Reference has a statistical model to calculate Hall-of-Fame probability, which includes championships, statistical leaderboard ranks, peak Win Shares and All-Star selections. Howard drops the hammer on massive slam. Logos were compiled by the amazing SportsLogos.net. In addition, if he returns healthy next season he has a good chance of finishing behind just James Harden and Stephen Curry on the career 3-point list. Some will probably be shocked to see George ranked ahead of Kawhi Leonard or Klay Thompson but people forget how productive he was with the Indiana Pacers. Scores from any date in BAA/NBA or ABA history. Injuries have taken their toll and the drop-off from his peak has been dramatic. Your favorite teams, topics, and players all on your favorite mobile devices. Our reasoning for presenting offensive logos. New York Mets Top 10 Career Batting Leaders. Although, if he’s traded this year and has a chance to win another ring as a role player before retiring, that could change things. Members of the Hall of Fame are marked with an asterisk (*) It’s hard to see how Wall meaningfully improves his resume over the next few years. Assists. He was a complementary piece on all three of the Warriors’ championship teams but he also has several iconic moments — scoring 60 points in under 30 minutes and hitting 10 consecutive 3-pointers to start a game against the Lakers. It seems like much of the sports conversation today is going to revolve around legacy and historic measures of greatness so I thought it would be fun to take a look at the NBA and which active players have the best chance of making the Hall-of-Fame. Embiid has a tough matchup against Utah, but he has been nothing short of incredible this season. Our reasoning for presenting offensive logos. Explanation of Hall of Fame Probability calculation. LeBron James: 1.0000: 3. 0:26. Team Name: New York Mets Seasons: 59 (1962 to 2020) Record: 4474-4842, .480 W-L% Playoff Appearances: 9 Pennants: 5 World Championships: 2 Winningest Manager: Davey Johnson, 595-417, .588 W-L% More Franchise Info Find out more. He has averaged 33.4 minutes per game in 11 games over the last month and 1.59 DraftKings points per minute for the season. Dwight Howard D. Howard. I don’t know what you do with Kyrie’s case. Serge Ibaka has been a game-changer and it’s allowed the team to open their offense in ways they couldn’t last season. Tony Bradley started and played 17 minutes the last time that Embiid was out while Dwight Howard played 25.2 minutes off the bench. Watch our How-To Videos to Become a Stathead, Subscribe to Stathead and get access to more data than you can imagine. Team Stats. For what it’s worth, the model gives him a higher probability than Chauncey Billups. They are listed below, ranked by their current probability in the model. Of that group, only Davis and Howard seem relatively controversial — Howard because his accomplishments have been somewhat tainted by personality and Davis because of his relative youth (he’s 27, every other player on the list is over 30). 7 AST 3 TO 35 MIN. Do you have a blog? Copyright © 2000-2021 Sports Reference LLC. Howard Griffith 1 yard rush (Jason Elam kick) 24: 6: Broncos: John Elway 3 yard rush (Jason Elam kick) 31: 6: Falcons : Tim Dwight 94 yard kickoff return (Morten Andersen kick) 31: 13: Broncos: Jason Elam 37 yard field goal : 34: 13: Falcons: Terance Mathis 3 yard pass from Chris Chandler (pass failed) 34: 19: Game Info. Because of injuries and rest, his career totals for things like points and rebounds are lower than many other Hall-of-Famers. Even if he never wins a title, his two MVPs and Defensive Player of the Year Award should be more than enough, assuming an otherwise normal career arc. Domantas Sabonis D. Sabonis. F - IND. If not, who knows? It’s hard to imagine them being split. Every Sports Reference Social Media Account, Site Last Updated: Thursday, March 11, 4:19AM. denotes elected to National Baseball Hall of Fame. Bold: denotes active player. NBA/ABA Table; Rank Player HoF Prob; 1. 0:23. His ring with the Lakers bumped his odds up but Rondo seems likely to fall below the cut-off line. C - PHI. Active players are listed in bold text Members of the Hall of Fame are marked with an asterisk (*) Explanation of Hall of Fame Probability calculation. All-time Passing Leader: Joe Montana 2,929/4,600, 35,124 yds, 244 TD . Subscribe to our Free Newsletter, This Month in Sports ReferenceFind out when we add a feature or make a change. 8 REB 7 DREB 1 OREB. NBA/ABA. Simmons discards Brunson for big flush in the lane. We present them here for purely educational purposes. Despite his iconic 3-pointer in Game 7, I imagine most of the credit for his one title will be retroactively handed to LeBron. Meghan Markle, Duchess of Sussex, revealed during a television interview with Oprah Winfrey, that she married Prince Harry, Duke of Sussex, three days ahead of their televised wedding. Build your custom FanSided Daily email newsletter with news and analysis on All NBA and all your favorite sports teams, TV shows, and more. All logos are the trademark & property of their owners and not Sports Reference LLC. Lowry’s resume was immensely helped by the championship he won next to Kawhi Leonard and although he’s never really been considered the best point guard in the league at any point in his career, consistency has served him well. Michael Jordan* 1.0000: 4. 0:17. The next group is where things get far more interesting. 3 surprise cuts the Jets could make this offseason, 5 free agents the Buccaneers must sign this offseason, Draymond Green steals Steph Curry's chance to tie game vs Spurs on boneheaded play (Video), Draymond Green's Stephen Curry Impression Was the Highlight of the NBA Season, Admitted ref error might have cost Warriors game against Mavericks, Good news for Jazz fans: Draymond Green is all in on 'screen assists', Warriors went ultra small and still dominated Mavericks in the paint. Leading the Heat to a title might make him a fringe candidate. But even that is picking nits. He’s almost certainly going to come up short. If Draymond is in, then Klay is too, and vice versa. It’s hard to imagine much changing on his Hall-of-Fame resume at this point and if he does make it, the case would be recognition of the visceral power of his game when he was at his best. All-time Rushing Leader: Frank Gore 2,442 att, 11,073 yds, 64 TD . Draymond’s case is interesting especially compared to Klay Thompson’s. Thompson’s case is also probably understated by the model here. Seasons: 75 (1946 to 2020) Record (W-L-T): 589-499-16 Playoff Record: 33-22 Super Bowls Won: 5 (7 Appearances) Championships Won *: 5 . Keep in mind that the model only includes a player’s past production, so younger players are likely to sit far below where they will ultimately end their careers. For example, he is way ahead of Kawhi in total career points, rebounds, assists and steals and his per-game averages are ahead as well. Otherwise, he’s probably out. Kareem Abdul-Jabbar* 1.0000: 2. The ship has probably sailed for Aldridge who is 35 years old and averaging the fewest minutes and points per game since his rookie season. Data Provided By The Whiteboard is The Step Back’s daily basketball newsletter, covering the NBA, WNBA and more. List. He’s a player whose actual probability may be overstated by the statistical model. Those things don’t count in Basketball-Reference’s model but they certainly will to the selection committee. Active players are listed in bold text Career Leaders & Records for Win Probability Added (WPA) Find the most pivotal plays Become a Stathead to find the most crucial plays in MLB history with the Pivotal Play Finder , which allows users to search over 100 years of play-by-play to find the most WPA and … There are 14 active players with a probability somewhere between 25 and 90 percent and individually, many of their cases are fascinating. Expected Points Summary. Love’s case is interesting because the latter half of his career has been marred by injuries and because his lone ring could be chalked up, primarily, to the extraordinary efforts of LeBron James. His public persona could make it harder for him to get inducted, but Allen Iverson and Dennis Rodman are both in. Question, Comment, Feedback, or Correction? Doncic smiles after draining step-back 3 on Harris. Explanation of Hall of Fame Probability calculation. On Sunday night, Tom Brady add another data point to his case as the greatest football player of all time, leading a thrashing of the Kansas City Chiefs to win the Super Bowl. Celtics, Sixers drain back-to-back 3s.